Heatmaps for tracking India’s economic activity

Heatmaps for tracking India’s economic activity

May 14, 2024

Tracking movement on Indian roads provides insights into underlying demand and supply patterns since road traffic typically precedes expected demand. NIIF’s HeatMaps – Toll Roads report analyses Indian toll road data, mapping 90%+ of toll plazas for which we have consistent data over last two years. Key insights include:

  •  Stable volume growth: Analysing tolled roads reveals that the underlying volume growth has been stable and strong.
  • Average toll: The average “swipe” at a toll plaza has grown over time from INR 155 in March 2022 to INR 181 in March 2024, largely reflecting inflation-linked increase in tolls
  • Seasonal trends: Traffic peaks pre-monsoon in May and pre-festival in September/October. Seasonally adjusted growth can be calculated once there is a longer-time series
  • Top performers: The top 10 toll plazas represent ~7% of total monthly value and volume. A top-10 toll plaza collects, on average, ~INR 300 million over ~1.8 million transactions in a month
  • Busiest toll plaza: maximum traffic (volume) consistently recorded at Devanahalli (Karnataka)
  • Highest tolls: top two plazas consistently collecting the most tolls were Bharthana (Gujarat) and Shahjahanpur (Rajasthan)
  • Freight and trade: Mapping movement across toll plazas acts as a leading indicator for India’s exports and imports, as well as domestic trade

For more detailed analyses and state-wise breakdowns, dig into the entire report.

 

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